Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.057271 0.065036 0.073012 0.081786 0.091135 0.100772 0.111428
2025-07-20 0.042677 0.053717 0.065682 0.079470 0.094785 0.111153 0.129853
2025-07-27 0.036578 0.049922 0.064983 0.082921 0.103410 0.125822 0.151945
2025-08-03 0.030725 0.045363 0.062530 0.083588 0.108221 0.135689 0.168222
2025-08-10 0.026136 0.041631 0.060466 0.084186 0.112507 0.144598 0.183108
2025-08-17 0.021836 0.037693 0.057689 0.083528 0.114985 0.151159 0.195087
2025-08-24 0.017081 0.032542 0.052906 0.079998 0.113684 0.153033 0.201408
2025-08-31 0.013566 0.028619 0.049322 0.077628 0.113508 0.156005 0.208811
2025-09-07 0.011391 0.026347 0.047705 0.077575 0.116026 0.162067 0.219752
2025-09-14 0.009955 0.025015 0.047234 0.078904 0.120187 0.170050 0.232933
2025-09-21 0.009413 0.025058 0.048657 0.082713 0.127466 0.181823 0.250654
2025-09-28 0.007965 0.023363 0.047443 0.082882 0.130038 0.187799 0.261398
2025-10-05 0.008075 0.024594 0.050782 0.089603 0.141494 0.205249 0.286665
2025-10-12 0.006019 0.021525 0.047522 0.087172 0.141108 0.208144 0.294469
2025-10-19 0.005497 0.021337 0.048629 0.090811 0.148648 0.220905 0.314299
2025-10-26 0.004499 0.019950 0.047725 0.091514 0.152262 0.228728 0.328090
2025-11-02 0.003638 0.018645 0.046829 0.092144 0.155720 0.236321 0.341583
2025-11-09 0.002728 0.016936 0.045104 0.091451 0.157321 0.241507 0.352073
2025-11-16 0.001664 0.014289 0.041483 0.087731 0.154650 0.241124 0.355558
2025-11-23 0.000985 0.012301 0.038788 0.085231 0.153521 0.242621 0.361305
2025-11-30 0.000647 0.011253 0.037725 0.085176 0.155733 0.248404 0.372397
2025-12-07 0.000462 0.010721 0.037608 0.086578 0.159976 0.256829 0.386822
2025-12-14 0.000429 0.010993 0.039116 0.090593 0.167938 0.270145 0.407453